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MELMAN MINUTES

MINUTE ARCHIVES

 

We are pleased to inform new readers of this important service. Three times each week (usually Monday, Wednesday and Friday), unless travel or health conditions interfere, we will continue to write a timely commentary on current market conditions. These comments are entitled "Melman Minutes" and it is our hope that they will be of value in providing political and economic background information to assist in your interpretation of market conditions.

 
 

Wednesday, November 19th, 2014

 

It appears that gold has been able to hold on its initial gains as it is trading quietly this morning just under the $1,200 level.  However, the big question remains whether the recent rally from about $1,130 to $1,200 is just another short-term improvement which is destined to be followed by renewed declines - or whether we have truly hit bottom and are ready to move decisively higher.   Read Article


 

Monday, November 17th, 2014

 

The economic planners of the world received a genuine jolt this weekend with news that the Japanese economy had once again entered a period of recession.  As reported by the Japanese authorities, their economy shrank during the Third Quarter at a rate of 0.4% or at an annualized rate of 1.6% despite heroic stimulative measures including enormous purchases of government debt by the Bank of Japan, deliberate devaluation of their home currency and the acceleration of currency-creation efforts.   Read Article


 

Friday, November 14th, 2014

 

I have just finished reading a report of an interview of noted analyst, John Mauldin, author and Chairman of Mauldin Economics.  During the interview, he made the clear prediction that not only will the US Dollar continue to strengthen - which coincides with our recent technical analysis comments - but that it will continue to strengthen over a prolonged period of time, perhaps for as many as . . .  Read Article


 

Wednesday, November 12th, 2014

 

One of the notable features of the news background is the frequency of people making predictions as we near the end of one year and look forward into the next.  The gold market is no exception to this pattern, and as has been typical in the recent past, we have been able to read predictions ranging from an early resumption of a powerful bull to more negative ones forecasting desperate woes which await anyone taking long positions in the metal or its allied investments.  Read Article


 

Monday, November 10th, 2014

 

Well, the shocking resource commodity and stock declines of the previous two weeks have now been replaced by somewhat modest gains which also serve to illustrate a technical pattern known as a 'pullback'. Read Article


 

Friday, November 7th, 2014

 

Precious metals markets got a shot-in-the-arm this morning when reported October job figures came in well above expectations for both the USA and Canada.  In the USA the government reported the economy added 214,000 new jobs during the month while the overall Unemployment Rate fell to another six-year low at 5.8%.  North of the border, figures were relatively better with news of a surprisingly large gain of 43,000 jobs and a reduction in the U.R. to 6.5%, also a multi-year low.  Read Article


 

Wednesday, November 5th, 2014

 

Well, the reputation of the polling industry got a big boost yesterday as their overall predictions turned out to be dead right.  As they predicted, the Democratic Party and the President suffered through one of the most devastating political defeats in decades.  Read Article


 

Monday, November 3rd, 2014

 

As might be noticed, the strong rally in the US Dollar Index abated for a few trading sessions, perhaps giving hope for some significant reversal, but that index is moving strongly higher once again, reaching a new multi-month high this morning.  The impact on gold appears to be consistent with its historic moves compared to the Greenback, namely moving in timing lockstep with that currency, but in the opposite direction, as is evident from gold's chart.  Read Article


 

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