Melman Minutes by Leonard Melman

 

Dear Reader:

We are pleased to inform new readers of this important service. Three times each week (usually Monday, Wednesday and Friday), unless travel or health conditions interfere, we will continue to write a timely commentary on current market conditions. These comments are entitled "Melman Minutes" and it is our hope that they will be of value in providing political and economic background information to assist in your interpretation of market conditions. As of June 2010, there are approximately 600 of these comments recorded in our archives dating back to early 2007."

Leonard Melman

 

Contact Leonard

244 - 2465 Apollo Dr.
Nanoose Bay, BC
V9P 9K2

Telephone. 250.947.5505
Fax. 250.468.7027


editor@themelmanreport.com

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Friday, July 29th, 2011

Of all the attributes of gold, one of the least understood or mentioned is that it often functions as a “reverse thermometer” of societal stability. In other words, as the functions of society appear to be performing in a stable, satisfactory manner, gold usually performs poorly, but if gold is soaring, then the implication is society is heading toward “hell in a hand-basket.”  Read Article


 

 

Wednesday, July 27th, 2011

Quite recently, we wrote about the seeming non-conformity of gold and the US Dollar rising in tandem, rather than moving in the opposite direction as had been the normal case for most of the past several decades. As readers might recall, we offered the explanation that both gold and the Greenback were benefitting from the monetary turmoil in Europe and each may well have been the beneficiary of funds seeking a safe haven. We also added the caveat that:  Read Article


 

 

Monday, July 25th, 2011

It has been our pleasure to have been commenting, in one way or another, on political and economic events and how they have affected our world of precious and base metals mining for almost four decades. During all those years, we can never recall a period when so many events of potentially cataclysmic – and we use that term advisedly – events have been taking place virtually simultaneously.   Read Article


 

 

Friday, July 22nd, 2011

Every so often, a political or international financial leader says something that perhaps provides a little more information to the public than might have been intended. I believe such was the case with a self-congratulatory statement from the IMF which was printed in “The Times of London” newspaper this morning.  Read Article


 

 

Wednesday, July 20th, 2011

Going back to the general principals which guide us, one of the most important is the concept that governments have created the enormous debt problems now staggering one country after another because for decade after decade, they spent more than they have taken in via legitimate taxation revenues. Read Article


 

 

Monday, July 18th, 2011

TMR HEADLINE -"GOLD SMASHES THROUGH $1,600 BARRIER TO NEW RECORD HISTORIC HIGH”  Read Article


 

 

Friday, July 15th, 2011

Call it posturing, call it grandstanding, call it whatever you will, but a fascinating game of political showmanship is now being played out in Washington against the backdrop of an impending “drop dead deadline” date of August 2nd. That is the date when the Treasury’s smoke and mirrors hiding of the true debt comes to an end and present legal debt limitation law will become reality. At least, that is what we can glean from the latest barrage of “statements-of-the-moment.”  Read Article


 

 

Wednesday, July 13th, 2011

Somewhere just after 6:00 AM PDT, the price of gold passed another milestone, trading for the first time ever in excess of $1,580 per ounce on a major commodity exchange. The chart clearly shows the breakout above the May 2, 2011 high of just under the $1,580 mark. What we cannot know is just how powerful this breakout will turn out to be; whether it is just a ‘flash in the pan’ to be followed quickly by renewed selling, or whether it is a prelude to much higher numbers for the yellow metal. Time will tell.   Read Article


 

 

Monday, July 11th, 2011

It has been said that a picture is worth a thousand words, and I suppose the rule also applies to well-selected charts. In today’s case, then, we are about to offer two thousand words worth of discussion, as there are two charts which we believe are beginning to tell quite a tale.   Read Article


 

 

Friday, July 8th, 2011

Markets this morning were stunned by a profoundly negative U.S. Department of Labor jobs report which showed that only 18,000 new jobs were created by the U.S. economy during June, far, far below ‘expert’ predictions. It is also worth noting that the Unemployment Rate rose to 9.2%, up by one-tenth percent from the previous month.   Read Article


 

 

Wednesday, July 6th, 2011

The first half of 2011 is now fodder for the history books of the future, so it seems appropriate to take a look back at our annual forecast, issued at the end of December 2010, and see if it requires any substantive revision. Here is what we wrote in our Melman Minute of December 30, 2010   Read Article


 

 

Tuesday, July 5th, 2011

Somehow, during the rush of stories about the Greek default crisis, the American budgetary crisis, the coming struggle over the USA debt limit crisis and the other attention-grabbing headlines of the moment, one of the most important underlying influences regarding the prices of both the precious and base metals seems to have been ignored. We are referring to the influence of inflationary expectations.
 
Read Article


 

 

Monday, July 4th, 2011

SPECIAL SUMMARY – week of June 26 - July 2, 2011

What a week to be absent from the markets we follow! While we were ‘enjoying’ the benefits of South American jungle travel last week, markets from precious metals to interest rates to securities exchanges to currency rates were making decisive moves, sometimes in the form of sharp reversals from rece3ntly established trends. In addition, the mining world itself was generating headlines in various forms and many of our long-standing concerns such as the Greek financial crisis, the USA debt limitation crisis and the American budgetary crisis were all continuing to generate their own recurring headlines as well.
 
Read Article


 

 

Wednesday, June 29th, 2011

After spending the better part of two days in Guyana, including all day yesterday either flying over or immersed in true tropical jungle, it is easy to draw two conclusions from our mining tour in this country located along South America's northern coast.  Read Article


 

 

Monday, June 27th, 2011

First, the US National Debt has just taken an upward lurch to $14.45 trillion, more than $150 billion above the existing debt limit. This is putting pressure on the US Congress to resolve the debt limit problem, and quickly.  Read Article


 

 

Friday, June 24th, 2011

Due to the extreme pressure of hard deadlines combined with preparations for our forthcoming trip to Guyana, South America, this morning’s Melman Minute must, of necessity, be both late and brief.

Read Article


 

 

Wednesday, June 22nd, 2011

In an important move which appears to have caught many observers by surprise, gold appears to be moving higher once again and now stands on the brink of an important technical breakout.  Read Article


 

 

Monday, June 20th, 2011

PHILOSOPHIC STATEMENT

It is worth repeating one of our favourite quotes at this time, authored by the renowned Winston Churchill.
Read Article




Friday, June 17th, 2011

Overnight news has been focused on the growing crisis in Greece, one which appears to have the potential to become a major international problem. For those who have not been paying close attention, Greece is now faced with the maturity of existing debt within the next few months and they simply do not have the funds to repay that debt. In other words, they could, quite literally, default on that debt, thereby becoming the first major nation to fail in such a manner for several decades. Read Article


 

 

Wednesday, June 15th, 2011

Markets on Tuesday rallied sharply, specifically including the recently quiet commodity markets, with gold, silver, the base metals and the petroleum complex all headed higher. At the other end of the scale, the US Dollar and long term government bonds all fell sharply. It may seem strange at first glance that higher prices for commodities combined with a falling US Dollar would send securities markets into a buying splurge, but, in our opinion, anything which might alleviate concern about a possible double-dip recession will be met with an optimistic reaction. Read Article




Monday, June 13th, 2011

For some reason, the old movie “Groundhog Day” keeps coming to mind. For those not familiar with that film’s plot, Bill Murray plays a gentleman who must live through recurring Ground Hog days one after another. The event which brought Murray’s classic film to mind was the report out of Washington that President Obama had just announced a plan to take new steps to reduce government waste. Read Article




Friday, June 10th, 2011

Those of us who have been observing and writing about the world’s economic structure for more three decades or more will not likely ever forget the “Japanese Miracle.” Left for dead following their humiliating defeat in WWII, Japan appeared to be headed for decades – or even centuries – of troubled times, both socially as well as economically. Read Article




Wednesday, June 8th, 2011

Our presentation entitled “On the Road to Hyperinflation – revised June 2011” was well-received and, judging by the spontaneous 90 minute post-presentation question-and-answer session, we attained our objective of raising interest in the subject matter. Read Article




Friday, June 3rd, 2011

The generally accepted version of the theories of John Maynard Keynes tell us that when economic dislocations occur, government should step in with aggressive actions to restore prosperity. Read Article




Wednesday, June 1st, 2011

LONG TERM STRATEGY UPDATE   Read Article




Tuesday, May 31st, 2011

One of the great questions facing metals investors is the future of the United States dollar and it is almost impossible to over-state the significance of that currency as virtually every important commodity on earth is primarily priced in Greenbacks. In basic terms, when the Greenback is appreciating, it takes fewer US$ to buy a given quantity of such items and, conversely, when the Greenback is falling in relative value, the quoted price per unit moves higher. Read Article